India raises spending and chip investment to head off Donald Trump’s tariffs

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New Delhi is significantly increasing its capital expenditure and aggressively investing in semiconductor manufacturing, a strategic pivot designed to insulate its economy from potential protectionist trade policies, particularly those anticipated from a future Donald Trump administration in the United States. This proactive approach, unfolding across India in early 2024, aims to bolster domestic industry and reduce reliance on global supply chains vulnerable to trade disruptions.

Background: A History of Trade Tensions and Global Ambitions

The potential return of Donald Trump to the U.S. presidency revives concerns over trade protectionism. His 2017-2021 "America First" doctrine imposed tariffs, notably on steel and aluminum, and led to a trade war. India's Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) status was withdrawn in 2019, impacting billions in exports. This history informs India's current preemptive economic strategy.

India's "Atmanirbhar Bharat" (Self-Reliant India) initiative seeks to become a global manufacturing and export hub, focusing on high-tech. This self-reliance push gained momentum post-COVID-19, exposing semiconductor supply chain vulnerabilities.

The global semiconductor industry, vital for all electronics, is a geopolitical focal point. Nations seek domestic chip manufacturing to mitigate risks. India, a major consumer with limited production, identified this as a critical economic and security gap.

Previous semiconductor manufacturing efforts faced infrastructure and workforce challenges. However, recent policy shifts

India raises spending and chip investment to head off Donald Trump’s tariffs

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